Sportgrinder 2009 Soccer Thread

[SportGrinder]

Lets kick it off with what looks like a really good one:

SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs. FC Zwoll - Over 3 at 1.909

Over 3 seems a tad much and I am not 100% sure I will follow this. The Over 2 seems like a lock so I may have to go with that for a lil bit lesser odds.

Frosinone Calcio vs. Parma FC. Parma to win for 2.33


Coming off a big confidence boost from last game's 4-0 Parma is looking to get another very important victory here as they are fighting for their comeback to Seria A. Calcio had a 3 straight losing streak ended last game vs bottom team Treviso. I am sure they will go back to losing here.

The PK and -0,5 for Parma at 1.952 is also very appealing.

 

[SportGrinder]

YTD is now 1-0-1. Felt that over 3 was to high but 2 was a lock. Nice comeback for Parma to score in 71 and 90.

 

[SportGrinder]

3 unit game

Manchester United vs. Fulham. Manchester -1,5 for 1.806.

Manchester is currently on a roll. They havent conceded a goal is 13 matches and they are aiming for a nice 5 point lead here when they play their game that will make it 25 games even for the top teams. Scoring on average 2.27 goals at home this season vs Fulhams 0.25 away this sure doesnt seem like a hard matchup. Worth to mention is that Man UTD also has 10 straight wins at home from 11 possible this season, where Newcastle managed to get 1-1 in the opening game.

I put my money on Man UTD and puts a smile on my face after the game.

2 unit game


FC Dynamo Kyiv vs. Valencia. FC Dynamo Kyiv pk and -0,5 for 2.05


Valencia hasnt been to reckon with lately at away. Having 8 straight games without a win they won't go with full force at Dynamo hoping to get away with an important win. They will be satisfied with 0-0 and that is where their minds will be. We all know Dynamo is a force at home. I am going with the handicap of PK and 0,5 since I dont really got that much information on Kyiv so im going to play it safe for what seems like a lock.

 

[Frankinho]

nice bets and definitely workable. Let me just add two "be awares"

Be aware that Fulham hardly gets scored against. I think you can win your bet with a 2-0 win, but it won't be that easy.
Be aware that Dinamo Kiev did not play any games lately except for some friendlies. Their league is on hold right now, which are in favour of Valencia. All together I agree with the Man Utd win and the draw in the other game.

 

[SportGrinder]

Ah thanks for the heads up. May have changed it to a 1unit game instead, but we atleast made a small small profit on it since it covered 50%.

Lets hope for Man UTD now.

 

[SportGrinder]

Man UTD seems like a lock. 2-0 halftime and they have had 2 goals that where offside, and plenty of chances. I guess this can go up to 4-0.

:money8:

 

[Icemantbi]

I hope so sportgrinder, I took the Man UTD team total over 2... so I'm sitting pretty right now, but would really be pissed if I don't get paid on this bet now.

 

[SportGrinder]

I hope so sportgrinder, I took the Man UTD team total over 2... so I'm sitting pretty right now, but would really be pissed if I don't get paid on this bet now.

Not even close :money8:

 

[Frankinho]

Good stuff, sorry for making you aware on this one

 

[SportGrinder]

I am seriously interested in Copenhagen at pk and +0,5 at home vs tottenham. Copenhagen sure has a nice advantage at home vs Tottenham who hasnt made anyone happy at away this year. Will scout some more.

 

[SportGrinder]

Scouted some more and its not a play. I have no idea where Copenhagen is formwise since their league is on hold until march. So a no play there

 

[SportGrinder]

2 unit game

Olympique Marseille vs. Twente. Take Twente +1 for 1.704

Twente has only lost 1 game in their last 17 games. Impressive. Worth to notice tho is that the only lost game came vs french opposition, PSG, 4-0. Worth to include? The reason why I am taking the +1 line is because I think Twente are definately doable to make it a draw here but they have lost 3 of 3 Uefa Cup Games at away just to go 3 win in 3 attempts at home.

If they lose this game, it will be by 1 goal, not more so I take the +1 line as an insurance, but it will be a draw way often making this a good play.

 

[Frankinho]

I was also thinking of playing a draw for Twente, but after NEC being killed by Hamburg yesterday I now also fear for Twente. I know it's a total different team and Twente is a better team as well, but it's going to be tough for them, exactly because of the reasons you mentioned. I have not forgotten their 4-0 loss against PSG and I am not confident enough for them to make the draw or to lose by a maximum of one. Therefor I will skip this game tonight.

 

[SportGrinder]

Yea I am on the same line, but my finger is a little trigger happy so thats why I went for it I think there are some nice value tho.

 

[scp2020]

I am seriously interested in Copenhagen at pk and +0,5 at home vs tottenham. Copenhagen sure has a nice advantage at home vs Tottenham who hasnt made anyone happy at away this year. Will scout some more.

you doe realize copenhagen playing manchester city...only play on this game is the over

 

[SportGrinder]

Ops, obv Man City instead of Tottenham there

 

[SportGrinder]

Twente took down a nice victory Nice 2 unit investment.

Stats so far: Win/Lose/Push
3unit 1-0-0
2unit 1-1-0
1unit 1-0-1

Total: 3-1-1 +4.1256 units

 

[SportGrinder]

Vitesse vs. Roda JC. Take Vitesse -0,5 and -1 for 1.990.
1 unit game

Seems like a huge value play. Roda has 2 wins in its latest 10 games, and are coming with a 0-2-6 stat for its last 8 away games. Vitesse on the other hand have won at home vs Ajax latest, with a nice 4-1, and a good 1-0 win vs Hereenveen. Looking strong at home at the moment. This one will easily cover the 0,5 and I am really positive that it can go up to a 2 goal win.

US Boulogne vs. Stade de Reims. Over 2 and 2,5 for 2.00
1 unit game

Reims average a hole 2,8 goals for their last 5 away games aswell as parking on the very bottom of ligue 2. Boulogne average a nice 3.4 at home in their last 5 games, with wins such as 4-0,3-1 and 3-1. I expect nothing short than a game that will be way up there in goals. With an expected ending of 3-1 to Boulogne.

US Boulogne vs. Stade de Reims. Take home win for 1.971
1 unit game

Read above.

May come more later but those are the standouts so far

Here is to another good night :money8:

 

[SportGrinder]

Ahwell, finished 2-1 for a 0.99 unit gain and a total off:
3unit 1-0-0
2unit 1-1-0
1unit 3-1-1

Total: 5-2-1 +5,1156 units

 

[SportGrinder]

Today is a very play heavy day with a few golden matches

Nancy vs. Olympique Lyon. Take Lyon PK and -0,5 for 1.917
2 Unit Game

Nancy was last seasons big surprise but after getting rid of 2 important players this season is a mediocre one. Their last 6 home games read DLLWLL where on the other hand Lyon finally seems to have gotten that nice form they have been after, with a record of WWWDWW in their last 6 games. Only problem is that they have a very important game this wednesday in champions league vs Inter, but they will go for victory esp since their lead is only 4 points in the league and meeting a weak Nancy here. I take the PK as a small insurance but I am sure both will cover.

Grenoble vs. PSG. Take PSG PK and -0,5 for 1,794
1 unit game

Grenoble is the second worst home team in the league. Only scored 4 goal in its 11 home games is a big reason why the newcomers arent higher up in the table. PSG is expected to start with its full team and have an amazing form with WWWWLWWW in its last 8 games. Or to improve it further, 2 losses in 15 games for a nice 11-2-2 record. I am going with the handicap, but taking the alone 2 is fine aswell.

Nantes vs. Caen. Take Nantes PK for 1,524.
1 unit game

This is a game that wont excel in goals. The most common result these 2 teams between is 1-1. The reason why I am picking Nantes at PK is that this may very well be a draw, but Nantes hasnt lost at home vs Caen in their 4 meetings, aswell as Caens horrible form at the moment (DLDWLLLL away, LDDLWDLLLDL overall).

I will come with more as I scout